The 2014 holiday season has drawn to a close, and the initial results from the MarketLive Performance Index are promising. From the period beginning the Monday before Thanksgiving and ending the Sunday after New Year’s Day, revenues are up 11.7% compared with the corresponding timeframe in 2013, and traffic grew 13.3%. The average order size grew a substantial 4.2%, suggesting that Index merchants held the line when it came to pricing and devised creative promotional strategies that succeeded while maintaining margins.
Mobile shopping made its mark, with fully 46% of all eCommerce site traffic generated by smartphones and tablets. And more than a quarter of total online revenues were attributed to mobile devices — with smartphone revenue in particular growing exponentially, at 111%.
But the surge in mobile usage proved a double-edged sword. Overall conversion rates for the season dropped by 4.8% and cart abandonment rose by 3% due to mobile users either consulting sites and adding items to the cart purely for research — or, worse, finding mobile usability impediments too great to continue with their purchases. With mobile poised to make an even greater impact throughout 2015, improving the mobile site experience should remain at the top of merchants’ priority lists.
In addition, the results suggests merchants should:
Front-load the holiday 2015 calendar. Despite criticism of stores doing business on Thanksgiving day and hand-wringing over tepid Black Friday sales, Index results show that the first part of the holiday season is crucial, with fully 65% of holiday revenue earned before Dec. 14 and the conversion rate for the season peaking on Cyber Monday, Dec. 1, at 5.2%. Data from IBM Digital Analytics suggests that holiday impacts were felt even before Thanksgiving, with revenues the weekend before Thanksgiving surging more than 18% thanks to pre-Black-Friday and “Black Friday Week” deals. As merchants look ahead to the fourth quarter of 2015, they should plan to launch and promote holiday initiatives earlier than ever in order to accommodate shoppers who seek to buy gifts early in the season.
Develop a refined promotions strategy to maintain margins. Index merchants successfully navigated the holiday season without sacrificing average order value — but with competition tightening for online attention and dollars, they must deliver ever-savvier promotions to entice shoppers to buy. In 2015, with mobile usage poised to dominate, merchants should focus on relevance as the primary goal of promotions — delivering the optimal pricing, products and information to consumers exactly when and on which touchpoint they need it. Connecting in-store and online promotional strategies is an important step toward the goal; with usage of mobile devices to download coupons, check prices and access additional product information while in-store at an all-time high, the time is ripe to develop messages targeted at these online/offline crossover users.
Stay tuned for further discussion of mobile and in-store strategies, plus a 2015 trends webinar and more resources for planning the year ahead. Meantime, how was your holiday, and how will the results impact your 2015 plans?